Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.266758 1.428515 1.605247 1.813032 2.051093 2.315843 2.633307
2026-01-18 1.041451 1.259880 1.517774 1.846191 2.255364 2.751026 3.400980
2026-01-25 0.865397 1.107070 1.410703 1.823323 2.374233 3.091143 4.105663
2026-02-01 0.719359 0.962953 1.284932 1.746626 2.399785 3.302917 4.667479
2026-02-08 0.618252 0.860315 1.194522 1.696610 2.443876 3.534190 5.281296
2026-02-15 0.543201 0.781953 1.124461 1.660732 2.495938 3.775207 5.938213
2026-02-22 0.505628 0.751624 1.117617 1.713823 2.684041 4.242214 7.020130
2026-03-01 0.465780 0.712396 1.091404 1.731160 2.814393 4.630879 8.031285
2026-03-08 0.420298 0.658975 1.036325 1.693518 2.846088 4.854836 8.784183
2026-03-15 0.380388 0.610055 0.982704 1.650680 2.860964 5.047611 9.505740
2026-03-22 0.366663 0.602436 0.995776 1.723083 3.088288 5.653769 11.128429
2026-03-29 0.350913 0.589587 0.998163 1.775849 3.284871 6.228024 12.787983
2026-04-05 0.332532 0.571608 0.991825 1.815916 3.470994 6.826865 14.657859
2026-04-12 0.312984 0.549766 0.976527 1.837685 3.625419 7.389227 16.574875
2026-04-19 0.288900 0.517332 0.938380 1.810076 3.674641 7.736862 18.067084
2026-04-26 0.261278 0.475727 0.878758 1.731998 3.605514 7.812121 18.907255
2026-05-03 0.239838 0.443952 0.835031 1.681611 3.589923 8.006761 20.096119
2026-05-10 0.222174 0.417923 0.800112 1.645731 3.601862 8.267828 21.520794
2026-05-17 0.215204 0.412338 0.805657 1.698131 3.825572 9.081691 24.675415
2026-05-24 0.205312 0.399950 0.795939 1.715223 3.967264 9.713208 27.459529
2026-05-31 0.191338 0.377989 0.764063 1.677936 3.969688 9.981189 29.206404
2026-06-07 0.178149 0.356604 0.731534 1.635522 3.953448 10.196677 30.843946
2026-06-14 0.175275 0.356850 0.746081 1.707181 4.243801 11.316598 35.763884